The National Rally, France's anti-immigration far-right party, is poised to make significant gains in legislative elections, despite strong opposition from rivals determined to prevent its rise to power. The outcome of the second round of voting remains uncertain, leaving France facing two possible scenarios: a right-wing government or political turmoil.
The first round of legislative elections in France concluded with the National Rally emerging as the frontrunner, raising concerns about its potential to form a government. However, opponents of the far-right party are determined to thwart its progress in the decisive second round.
With the ultimate outcome still hanging in the balance, two possible scenarios await France. The National Rally and its allies could secure a working majority in parliament, bringing them closer than ever to government power. Alternatively, the party's path to victory could be blocked by opponents who hope to prevent the formation of France's first far-right government since World War II.
France on Edge as Far-Right National Rally Aims for Legislative Power
The National Rally, led by Marine Le Pen, has capitalized on voter frustration with economic conditions and immigration. Its anti-immigration agenda has resonated with some French citizens, particularly those who feel left behind by globalization.
Securing 289 or more lawmakers in the National Assembly would give Le Pen the mandate to force President Emmanuel Macron to appoint her protégé, Jordan Bardella, as Prime Minister. Such a power-sharing arrangement would be fraught with conflict, as Macron has stated that he will not resign before his term expires in 2027.
France on Edge as Far-Right National Rally Aims for Legislative Power
Alternatively, Le Pen may win over enough lawmakers by offering government positions. A National Rally government would align with the recent successes of far-right parties in Europe, including Hungary's Viktor Orbán, who holds the European Union's presidency.
However, the first round of voting left open the possibility that France's complex electoral system could lead to no single bloc gaining a clear majority. Such an outcome would plunge the country into political uncertainty.
Opponents of the National Rally are united in their opposition to its rise to power. The party's history of racism, xenophobia, and antisemitism, as well as its ties to Russia and adversarial stance towards the EU, have raised concerns.
The high stakes and compressed time frame of the election have intensified the campaign, overshadowing preparations for the Olympic Games in Paris next month. Candidates have until Tuesday evening to decide whether to remain in the race or withdraw. Strategic withdrawals could help divert votes to opponents of the National Rally.
The National Rally and its allies secured a third of the nationwide vote in the first round, while the left-wing New Popular Front and Macron's centrist camp trailed behind. However, district-by-district election results will ultimately determine the distribution of seats in the National Assembly.
Results from the first round showed strong support for both the National Rally and the New Popular Front, with both winning over 30 seats outright. Turnout was the highest since 1997, indicating growing political engagement.
Macron's decision to call the snap election after a loss to the National Rally in European Parliament voting has proven disastrous. Accused of opening the door to the far right, he is now facing the prospect of a National Rally government that could dismantle his domestic and foreign policies.
National Rally opponents fear for civil liberties if the party takes power, pointing to its plans to enhance police powers and curb the rights of dual citizens in certain professions. Macron himself has warned of the risk of civil war if the far right ascends to government.
The second round of legislative elections in France promises to be a nail-biting contest, with the future of the country hanging in the balance. The outcome will shape the political landscape of France and have repercussions for Europe and beyond.
