Vice President Kamala Harris has emerged as a favorite to maintain the Democratic stronghold in Minnesota in the 2024 presidential election, a recent poll suggests. Harris holds a 6-point advantage over former President Donald Trump, buoyed by strong support from urban voters, women, and independents.
A recent Fox News poll predicts a fierce battle in Minnesota for the upcoming 2024 presidential election, with Vice President Kamala Harris emerging as a formidable contender. The poll indicates that Harris holds a 6-point advantage over former President Donald Trump, setting the stage for a competitive race that could potentially challenge the Republican stronghold in the state.
Harris's favorable positioning is attributed to her strong support among urban voters (65%), suburban women (63%), White voters with a college degree (60%), women (58%), voters ages 65 and over (58%), union households (57%), and Independents (53%). These demographic groups have consistently played a pivotal role in Democratic victories in Minnesota.
Harris Surges in Minnesota, Posing a Formidable Challenge for Trump
Trump, on the other hand, draws his support from White evangelical Christians (69%), White men with no college degree (59%), rural voters (56%), men under age 45 (54%), and voters under age 30 (52%). While these groups represent a substantial portion of the electorate, they are less likely to turn out in the numbers needed to secure a Republican victory in Minnesota.
Harris also enjoys stronger ideological support within her party, with 95% of Democrats backing her compared to Trump's 93% support among Republicans. This unity could prove crucial in mobilizing the Democratic base and driving voter turnout.
Harris Surges in Minnesota, Posing a Formidable Challenge for Trump
The poll also reveals that nearly 7 in 10 Minnesotans are highly motivated to vote in the upcoming election, with Harris holding a 7-point advantage among these motivated voters. This enthusiasm suggests that the race is likely to be highly competitive and could go either way.
In hypothetical matchups against Trump, Harris outperforms other potential Democratic replacements for Biden. She holds a 49% to 46% lead over Trump in a matchup with Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer and a 49% to 45% advantage over Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro. This indicates that Harris is currently the most formidable Democratic challenger to Trump in Minnesota.
Harris Surges in Minnesota, Posing a Formidable Challenge for Trump
Despite Harris's strong showing, President Biden's job performance remains underwater, with 53% disapproving of his performance. This suggests that the race is still very much up for grabs and could shift depending on how the economy and other key issues evolve over the next year.
The poll also underscores the growing popularity of Senator Amy Klobuchar, who currently holds a 57% favorability rating in Minnesota. This high favorability could make her a potential threat to Trump in the Senate race, where she is currently the favored Democratic candidate.
Overall, the Fox News poll provides a glimpse into the competitive landscape of the 2024 presidential election in Minnesota. Harris's strong support among key demographic groups and her robust messaging on key issues position her as a formidable opponent for Trump. However, the race remains highly fluid, and the outcome will ultimately hinge on how the economy, the candidates' campaigns, and other factors evolve over the next year.
