As West Coast residents seek refuge in Idaho, local concerns arise about changing demographics and political landscape. However, voter data reveals a "red wave" with an influx of conservative families registering as Republicans, suggesting little impact on the state's political climate.
Idaho is experiencing a surge in population growth due to an influx of West Coast residents, primarily from California, Washington, and Oregon. While the influx has boosted the economy, it has also raised concerns among locals about the potential impact on the state's culture and politics.
Voter registration data indicates that the migration of West Coast conservatives is having a significant impact on Idaho's political landscape. A 2023 analysis shows that 75% of Californians moving to Idaho register as Republicans, while 60% of Washington and Oregon transplants do the same. This influx is contributing to the state's growing Republican majority.
Despite the lack of political shift, some locals remain apprehensive about the changing demographics. Bumper stickers dating back to the early 1990s, reading "Welcome to Idaho. Now go home," express the sentiments of residents who fear their state's identity will be altered.
The population increase has also led to rising housing prices and strained inventory. In Sandpoint, a popular destination for West Coast movers, houses on small lots are now listed for over $600,000. This has made it difficult for lifelong residents to afford homes in their own towns.
Real estate agents like Seth Horst and Trent Grandstaff emphasize the importance of educating potential movers about Idaho's culture to ensure compatibility. Grandstaff recalls turning down a prospective mover who wanted to "fix Idaho" with liberal values.
Idaho's population growth has slowed slightly since 2020, but the influx of West Coast conservatives continues. This migration has led to a demographic shift in Oregon, where the Republican population has declined by 6% in Multnomah County and gained over 7,400 voters in Washington County.
Some West Coast mayors have expressed concern that the loss of conservative voters will worsen the political polarization in their states. Portland City Commissioner Mingus Mapps emphasized the need to address homelessness and public safety to prevent further population loss.
Despite local concerns, mayors like Jim Hammond of Coeur d'Alene acknowledge the economic benefits of population growth. He believes it strengthens the local economy and reduces the need for residents to seek services outside their community.
The population surge has also highlighted the lack of affordable housing in Idaho. Sandpoint Mayor Jeremy Grimm hopes that new developments will increase inventory and support businesses and employees. However, locals like Daniel Hanson worry that their children will be priced out of the home market.
As Idaho navigates its growth, Commissioner Luke Omodt believes it's crucial for locals and newcomers to work together to preserve the state's quality of life. He recognizes that growth brings both opportunities and challenges but is optimistic about the future.
