Former President Trump continues to hold a slight edge over President Biden in Nevada, a key battleground state for the 2024 presidential election. However, a new poll reveals that Biden's approval ratings among older voters are slipping, raising concerns for his campaign.
Former President Trump maintains a precarious yet significant lead over President Biden in Nevada, a battleground state that could play a pivotal role in the 2024 presidential election. A recent poll published by the AARP finds Trump ahead of Biden by a mere 3 percentage points among likely Silver State voters.
Trump's advantage is more pronounced among voters over 50, where he enjoys a double-digit lead (53%-41%). However, Biden remains competitive in this demographic among Hispanic voters (51%-41%).
Trump's 2024 Prospects: Nevada Poll Shows Narrow Lead but Concerns over Biden's Performance
The AARP poll underscores the crucial nature of Nevada's Hispanic population, comprising 22% of eligible voters. As the demographic continues to grow, their support could prove pivotal in deciding the state's outcome.
Historically, Nevada has been a challenging state for Republican presidential candidates. Since 2004, when President George W. Bush won re-election, no Republican has emerged victorious. In 2020, Biden narrowly clinched the state with a 50.06% vote share to Trump's 47.67%.
Trump's 2024 Prospects: Nevada Poll Shows Narrow Lead but Concerns over Biden's Performance
Republicans are optimistic about flipping Nevada in 2024, given the current GOP governor, Joe Lombardo's, recent defeat of Democratic incumbent Governor Steve Sisolak. Lombardo has been vocal in his criticism of Biden's handling of the economy, arguing that it has left Nevadans dissatisfied.
A Fox News poll conducted earlier this month showed Trump leading Biden by a 5-point margin in Nevada. The poll results suggest that Biden's approval ratings are declining among older voters, with only 40% of those aged 50 and over expressing approval of his job performance.
Trump's 2024 Prospects: Nevada Poll Shows Narrow Lead but Concerns over Biden's Performance
The AARP survey also shed light on the competitive dynamics of the Nevada U.S. Senate race, where Democratic incumbent Senator Jacky Rosen faces Republican challenger Sam Brown. The poll found Rosen leading Brown by 47% to 42% among voters of all ages, with Hispanic support bolstering her advantage.
The AARP survey identified the economy, rising food prices, immigration, and border security as the top concerns for Nevada voters. Pollster Jeff Liszt highlighted the potential impact of split-ticket voters, who may decide the outcome of the upcoming election.
Trump's 2024 Prospects: Nevada Poll Shows Narrow Lead but Concerns over Biden's Performance
In a separate development, Nevada Democrats have filed a lawsuit challenging the eligibility of Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., an independent candidate running for Senate, to appear on the November ballot. The lawsuit alleges that Kennedy has not met the necessary residency requirements to qualify.
The AARP poll was conducted by Republican pollster Fabrizio Ward and Democratic firm Impact Research, with a margin of error of 4%.
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