If convicted in his New York trial, former President Trump could face various forms of punishment, including active time in jail, home confinement, or probation. Experts weigh in on the potential outcomes and their implications for Trump's political future.
A Manhattan jury is deliberating in former President Trump's New York criminal trial, and a guilty verdict could have significant consequences for the upcoming presidential election and criminal case law in the state. Legal experts have analyzed the potential outcomes and their implications.
If convicted, Trump may face active time in jail. However, experts note that it is unlikely for a 77-year-old man with no prior criminal record to be imprisoned. The presiding judge could request that Trump's bail be increased to ensure his return for sentencing. He could also be remanded into custody until his sentencing hearing.
Probation is another possible outcome. A probation officer would supervise Trump and exert considerable power over his movements and activities. He would need permission to travel out of state and could be subjected to searches and unannounced visits.
Another possibility is home confinement at Mar-a-Lago, Trump's Florida residence. This option would restrict his ability to campaign for the presidency. Travel outside the state would be prohibited, significantly hindering his election efforts.
If Trump wins the presidency despite a conviction, he will not be able to pardon himself in this state case. The legality of a sitting president complying with the terms of his sentence for state crimes remains unclear.
A mistrial is also a possibility if the jury cannot reach a verdict. Prosecutors would likely seek a retrial within months unless they reach an agreement with Trump's defense.
If found not guilty, Trump may choose to pursue legal action against those involved in the prosecution. He could file a malicious prosecution suit against the district attorney's office and an Article 78 proceeding against the judge for alleged misconduct.
The legal landscape surrounding Trump's potential sentence is complex and unprecedented. The implications of a conviction or acquittal extend beyond the courtroom, potentially shaping the political and legal landscape for years to come.
