While the vice presidential debate is expected to generate buzz, experts predict it will have little influence on undecided voters. However, indirect effects on perceptions of the presidential candidates could play a role in a close race.
Next Tuesday's vice presidential debate between Republican Ohio Sen. JD Vance and Democrat Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz is widely anticipated, yet experts agree that it is unlikely to make a significant difference in swaying undecided voters toward either presidential candidate.
Nevertheless, some indirect impact is expected, especially in a race as close as this one. Christopher Devine, author of "Do Running Mates Matter?: The Influence of Vice Presidential Candidates in Presidential Elections," explains that while the debate may produce viral moments, it will likely not generate the same level of interest or influence as the 2008 VP debate, when Sarah Palin captivated the nation in her matchup with then-Sen. Joe Biden.
VP Debate: Unlikely to Sway, But Indirect Impact Possible
Devine emphasizes the indirect effect of the debate on voters' perception of the presidential candidates. By choosing Vance and Walz as their running mates, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have strategically influenced voters' impressions of themselves.
Tevi Troy, a presidential historian and former George W. Bush Cabinet member, agrees that the debate will primarily impact the public's view of the candidates themselves. He notes that this year's debate may be different from others due to the lack of scrutiny Kamala Harris has faced since she was selected as Vice President Biden's running mate.
VP Debate: Unlikely to Sway, But Indirect Impact Possible
Troy also highlights the potential for Walz to criticize Vance's past statements, especially those related to abortion. Vance, for his part, is expected to focus on Walz's progressive policies in Minnesota.
According to a recent Fox News Poll, voters perceived Harris as having performed better than Trump in the first presidential debate. With no further presidential debates scheduled before November, the vice presidential debate will provide the candidates with a final opportunity to make their case directly to voters.
VP Debate: Unlikely to Sway, But Indirect Impact Possible
The CBS vice presidential debate will air on Tuesday, Oct. 1, at 9 p.m. ET and will be simulcast on Fox News Channel and Fox Business Network. While it may not drastically alter the race, it is likely to contribute to the ongoing narrative surrounding the 2024 presidential election.
